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Info-Gap Economics "An Operational Introduction"

An Operational Introduction

Info-Gap Economics "An Operational Introduction". An Operational Introduction

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  • ISBN:9780230228047
  • Editorial: Palgrave
  • Fecha de la edición:
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  • Dimensiones: 0 cm x 0 cm
  • Nº Pág.:264
  • Idiomas:Ingles,Inglés

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After every crisis economists and policy analysts ask: can better models help prevent or ameliorate such situations? This book provides an answer. Yes, quantitative models can help if we remember that they are rough approximations to a vastly more complex reality. Models can help if we include realistic but simple representations of uncertainty among our models, and if we retain the pre-eminence of human judgment over the churning of our computers.

Info-gap theory is a new method for modeling and managing severe uncertainty. The core of the book presents detailed examples of info-gap analysis of decisions in monetary policy, financial economics, environmental economics for pollution control and climate change, estimation and forecasting. This book is essential reading for economic policy analysts and researchers.

Preface
PART I: GETTING STARTED
Info-Gap Theory in Plain English
A First Look: Stylized Example
PART II: ECONOMIC DECISIONS
Monetary Policy
Financial Stability
Topics in Public Policy
Estimation and Forecasting
PART III: WRAPPING UP
The Art of Uncertainty Modelling
Positivism, F-twist, and Robust-Satisficing
References
Author Index
Subject Index

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