Since the first edition of the book was published there have been several changes in the types of risk individuals, businesses, and governments are being exposed to. Cyber-attacks are more frequent and costly and lone-wolf style terrorist attacks are more common; events not addressed in the first edition. The book continues to provide a resource that leads the reader through a risk assessment and shows them the proper tools to be used at the various steps in the process. This book also provides students studying safety and risk assessment a resource that assists them in understanding the various risk assessment tools and presents readers with a toolbox of techniques that can be used to aid them in analyzing conceptual designs, completed designs, procedures and operational risk. On top of the ten new chapters the new edition also includes expanded case studies and real-life examples; coverage on risk assessment software like SAPPHIRE and RAVEN; and end-of-chapter questions for students with a solutions manual for academic adopters.
The approach to the book remains the same and is analogous to a toolkit. The user locates the tool that best fits the risk assessment task they are performing. The chapters of the book progress from the concept of risk, through the simple risk assessment techniques, and into the more complex techniques. In addition to discussing the techniques, this book presents them in a form that the readers can readily adapt to their particular situation. Each chapter, where applicable, presents the technique discussed in that chapter and demonstrates how it is used.
About the Companion Website ix
1 Introduction to Risk Assessment 1
2 Risk Perception 11
3 Risks and Consequences 17
4 Ecological Risk Assessment 27
5 Task Analysis Techniques 53
6 Preliminary Hazard Analysis 61
7 Primer on Probability and Statistics 79
8 Mathematical Tools for Updating Probabilities 93
9 Developing Probabilities 115
10 Quantifying the Unquantifiable 133
11 Failure Mode and Effects Analysis 145
12 Human Reliability Analyses 159
13 Critical Incident Technique 175
14 Basic Fault Tree Analysis Technique 185
15 Critical Function Analysis 203
16 Event Tree and Decision Tree Analysis 223
17 Probabilistic Risk Assessment 251
18 Probabilistic Risk Assessment Software 261
19 Qualitative and Quantitative Research Methods Used in Risk Assessment 267
20 Risk of an Epidemic 283
21 Vulnerability Analysis Technique 293
22 Developing Risk Model for Aviation Inspection and Maintenance Tasks 317
23 Risk Assessment and Community Planning 329
24 Threat Assessment 343
25 Project Risk Management 381
26 Enterprise Risk Management Overview 409
27 Process Safety Management and Hazard and Operability Assessment 419
28 Emerging Risks 449
29 Process Plant Risk Assessment Example 461
30 Risk Assessment Framework for Detecting, Predicting, and Mitigating Aircraft Material Inspection 487
31 Traffic Risks 547
Acronyms 559
Glossary 563
Index 569
