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Risk Analysis in Project Appraisal "Assessment of Risk and Return in Capital Investment Decisions"

Risk Analysis in Project Appraisal "Assessment of Risk and Return in Capital Investment Decisions"

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A unique guide to assessing risk and return in capital investment using Monte Carlo Simulation. It presents a comprehensive conceptual framework with clarity and real-life examples for professionals and students in project finance, investment, and corporate lending. The book deals with the assessment of risk and return in capital investment decisions and has as its focus four fundamental analytical components of investment appraisal. These are: (1) a methodologically correct and complete integrated financial model to project the cash flows (2) the application of appropriate marketing analysis to determine the competitiveness of a proposed project; (3) the step-by-step setting up of the financial model for the application of risk analysis using appropriate Monte Carlo Simulation software; and (4) the analysis of the results of the probabilistic appraisal for the assessment of risk and return of the capital investment project and how this is applied particularly in project finance situations.

It is rather unique as it presents a comprehensive conceptual framework with clarity and real-life examples. It is likely to be in demand by both professionals and students where Monte Carlo Simulation software is used extensively such as universities, ministries of finance, development banks, consultants, and project finance companies, as well as banks in the assessment of the repayment capability of corporate loans.

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