This book presents the truth behind the rise of China and whether or not it will be able to maintain it. How did China transform itself so quickly? In "Red Capitalism: The Fragile Financial Foundation of China's Extraordinary Rise, Revised Edition" Carl Walter and Fraser Howie go deep inside the Chinese financial machine to illuminate the social and political consequences of the unique business model that propelled China to economic powerhouse status, and question whether this rapid ascension really lives up to its reputation. All eyes are on China, but will it really surpass the U.S. as the world's premier global economy? Walter and Howie aren't so certain, and in this revised and updated edition of "Red Capitalism" they examine whether or not the 21st century really will belong to China. The specter of a powerful China is haunting the U.S. and other countries suffering from economic decline and this book explores China's next move. Packed with new statistics and stories based on recent developments, this new edition updates the outlook on China's future with the most cutting-edge information available. Find out how China financed its current position of strength and whether it will be able to maintain its astonishing momentum. Indispensable reading for anyone looking to understand the limits that China's past development decisions have imposed on its brilliant future, "Red Capitalism" is an essential resource for anyone considering China's business strategies in today's extremely challenging global economy.
Preface to the Second Edition xi Preface to the First Edition xvii List of Abbreviations xxi 1. Looking Back at the Policy of Reform and Opening 1 Thirty years of opening up: 1978-2008 2 Thirteen years of reform: 1992-2005 10 The end of reform: 2005 15 China is a family business 22 2. China's Fortress Banking System 27 Banks are China's fi nancial system 29 China's banks are big banks 31 Crisis: The stimulus to bank reform, 1988 and 1998 33 China's fortress banking system in 2010 41 The sudden thirst for capital and cash dividends, 2010 47 3. The Fragile Fortress 53 The People's Bank of China restructuring model 56 The Ministry of Finance restructuring model 66 The "perpetual put" option to the PBOC 73 The new Great Leap Forward Economy 76 China's latest banking model 82 Valuing the asset management companies 85 Implications 88 4. China's Captive Bond Market 95 Why does China have a bond market? 98 Risk management 102 The base of the pyramid: Protecting household depositors 116 5. The Struggle over China's Bond Markets 125 The CDB, the MOF, and the Big 4 Banks 126 Local governments unleashed 134 Credit enhancements 141 China Investment Corporation: Linchpin of China's financial system 145 Cycles in the fi nancial markets 158 6. Western Finance, SOE Reform, and China's Stock Markets 163 China's stock markets today 164 Why does China have stock markets? 168 What stock markets gave China 172 7. The National Team and China's Government 185 Zhu Rongji's gift: Organizational streamlining, 1998 186 How the National Team, its families, and friends benefit 196 A casino or a success, or both? 209 Implications 212 8. The Forbidden City 215 The Emperor of Finance 217 Behind the vermillion walls 220 An Empire apart 227 Have the walls been breached? 231 Cracks in the walls 235 Imperial ornaments 239 Appendix 245 Select Bibliography 249 Index 251
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