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Probabilities "The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives"

The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives

Probabilities "The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives". The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives

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  • ISBN:9780470624456
  • Editorial: Wiley & Sons Ltd.
  • Fecha de la edición:
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  • Dimensiones: 0 cm x 0 cm
  • Nº Pág.:268
  • Idiomas:Ingles

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This book is intended as a popular, but abbreviated treatise on probability theory. Basic concepts and techniques are introduced and illustrated mainly by drawing from a wealth of entertaining, paradoxical, and mind-boggling probability problems (such as the birthday problem or the Monty Hall problem). The writing style is purposefully enjoyable and mostly non-technical. The pace is leisurely. No knowledge of calculus of previous knowledge of probability theory or statistics is required. The emphasis is on entertainment and pedagogy rather than applicability or usefulness. Examples reflect everyday occurrences, not pre-fabricated or altered data. While honest in approach, the author takes great pain to ease the level of mathematics throughout the work. Probability theory is learned by and through example.

1 Computing Probabilities: Right Ways and Wrong Ways 1
2 Surprising Probabilities: When Intuition Struggles 45
3 Tiny Probabilities: Why Are They So Hard to Escape? 71
4 Backward Probabilities: The Reverend Bayes to Our Rescue 93
5 Beyond Probabilities: What to Expect 115
6 Inevitable Probabilities: Two Fascinating Mathematical Results 145
7 Gambling Probabilities: Why Donald Trump Is Richer than You 175
8 Guessing Probabilities: Enter the Statisticians 211
9 Faking Probabilities: Computer Simulation 245

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